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Drew's "Predict The Oscars...Poorly" Contest - '06 Style!

Over and done.  Winner announced here.

Back by popular demand after hibernating for years, it's the only Oscar contest that rewards you for ignorance! Here's the deal: Although I'm a sheep and still enter them compulsively, I'm not a big cheerleader for Oscar prediction contests. Anybody can jump around the interweb these days and get a pretty good feel for who's gonna win the biggies. For the most part, one has a better chance of being surprised at the end of a Ron Howard flick than at the announcement for Best Picture. Besides, there's already a zillion prediction contests already; what's the fun in doing the exact same thing as everybody else? To paraphrase what that Frost fella said...why not take the road less traveled? So I like to have my Oscar contest with a twist: The person who predicts the most Oscar LOSERS wins not only a heep o' self esteem, but a big ole package of movie stuff as well.

You look confused...I shall explain. Your mission, should you choose to accept it, is to predict which nominee in each category is most likely to NOT win an Oscar. Let's say last year you thought Alan Alda was the least likely nominee to win for Best Supporting Actor. (Boy, that was a toughie, eh?) That's who you would predict to lose. Now, I know it sounds pretty easy, since there's only one Oscar winner per category category, you've got a 4 out of 5 chance in most categories to pick the loser. But just remember, for every Catalina Sandino Moreno, who had the same odds of winning as George W. having Whoop That Trick as his ringtone, there's an Adrien Brody who actually winds up taking home the gold. And remember, you have to predict in each category. You can't possibly tell me with a straight face that you know for sure who is a sure thing to not win for Best Short Subject Documentary. If you have any questions about it, just send me a quick e-mail before you enter.

So, what do you get if you win? Oodles, my friend. Oodles. More specifically, a prize pack chock full o' FIFTY movie goodies (posters, promos, keychains, magnets, hats, postcards, buttons, soundtracks, bumper stickers, bookmarks, yadda yadda, from the following flicks:

A Beautiful Mind, Adaptation, American Psycho, Amistad, Antz, Auto Focus, Being John Malkovich, Bring It On, Carlito's Way, Catch Me If You Can, Cry Baby, Daredevil, Death Becomes Her, Dude Where's My Car, E.T., Eve's Bayou, Evolution, Fight Club, Gangs Of New York, Ghost Dog, Ghost World, Harry Potter, Head Of State, Independence Day, Lord Of The Rings, Lost In Space, Mars Attacks, Men In Black 2, Monkeybone, Moulin Rouge, Mulan, Out Of Sight, Pirates Of The Carribean, Pleasantville, Pollock, Prince Of Egypt, Psycho, Road To El Dorado, Run Lola Run, Seabiscuit, Shrek, Spider Man, Swimfan, Swimming Pool, The Man Who Wasn't There, The Wedding Singer, Thin Red Line, True Lies, Truman Show, Wall Street, Where The Heart Is, X-Men, and a bunch more that I'm much too lazy to type out.

In the event of a tie, one winner will be chosen randomly. Only one entry per person will be eligible; multiple entries will not only disqualify you, but will haunt your guilty conscience eternally. The last day to enter is March 4, 2006. Any entry made after March 4, 2006 will result in an e-mail succinctly stating "You snooze, you lose" and the entry be invalid.  Tears will ensue.  The winner will be notified on March 11, 2006 and the second I hear back from them, will be given well-deserved public acclaim on the web site. Void where prohibited. But honestly, if you live in a place that won't even allow you to win a stinkin' movie contest, you should probably consider moving.

Everyone's name and e-mail address will be discarded in a sterile environment once the winner is announced. At no time will they be given to anyone, even those annoying Girl Scouts, who offered to pony up Australia if they could hound my visitors with Thin Mint offers. Not ruling Australia will be tough, but hey, to paraphrase my man Johnny Caspar, you gotta have ethics.

You Must Make A Selection In Every Category!

1. BEST PICTURE:
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
Crash
Good Night And Good Luck
Munich

2. ACTOR:
Philip Seymour Hoffman - CAPOTE
Terrence Howard - HUSTLE & FLOW
Heath Ledger - BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
Joaquin Phoenix - WALK THE LINE
David Strathairn - GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK

3. ACTRESS:
Judi Dench - MRS. HENDERSON PRESENTS
Felicity Huffman - TRANSAMERICA
Keira Knightley - PRIDE & PREJUDICE
Charlize Theron - NORTH COUNTRY
Reese Witherspoon - WALK THE LINE

4. SUPPORTING ACTOR:
George Clooney - SYRIANA
Matt Dillon - CRASH 
Paul Giamatti - CINDERELLA MAN
Jake Gyllenhaal - BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN 
William Hurt - A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE 

5. SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Amy Adams - JUNEBUG 
Catherine Keener - CAPOTE
Frances McDormand - NORTH COUNTRY 
Rachel Weisz - THE CONSTANT GARDENER
Michelle Williams - BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN

6. DIRECTOR:
Ang Lee - BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
Bennett Miller - CAPOTE
Paul Haggis - CRASH
George Clooney - GOOD NIGHT AND GOOD LUCK
Steven Spielberg - MUNICH

7. FOREIGN FILM:
Don't Tell
Joyeux NoŽl
Paradise Now
Sophie Scholl - The Final Days
Tsotsi

8. SCREENPLAY (written directly for the screen):
Crash
Good Night And Good Luck
Match Point
The Squid And The Whale
Syriana

9. SCREENPLAY (based on material previously produced or published):
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
The Constant Gardener
A History Of Violence
Munich

10. ART DIRECTION:
Good Night, and Good Luck
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
King Kong
Memoirs of a Geisha
Pride & Prejudice

11. CINEMATOGRAPHY:
Batman Begins
Brokeback Mountain
Good Night And Good Luck
Memoirs Of A Geisha
The New World

12. SOUND MIXING:
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
King Kong
Memoirs Of A Geisha
Walk The Line
War Of The Worlds

13. SOUND EDITING:
King Kong
Memoirs Of A Geisha
War Of The Worlds

14. ORIGINAL SCORE:
Brokeback Mountain
The Constant Gardener
Memoirs Of A Geisha
Munich
Pride And Prejudice

15. ORIGINAL SONG:
In The Deep - CRASH
Itís Hard Out Here for a Pimp - HUSTLE & FLOW
Traveliní Thru - TRANSAMERICA

16. COSTUME:
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Memoirs Of A Geisha
Mrs. Henderson Presents
Pride And Prejudice
Walk The Line

17. DOCUMENTARY FEATURE:
Darwinís Nightmare
Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room
March of the Penguins
Murderball
Street Fight

18. DOCUMENTARY (short subject):
The Death of Kevin Carter: Casualty of the Bang Bang Club
God Sleeps in Rwanda
The Mushroom Club
A Note of Triumph: The Golden Age of Norman Corwin

19. FILM EDITING:
Cinderella Man
The Constant Gardener
Crash
Munich
Walk The Line

20. MAKEUP:
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
Cinderella Man
Star Wars: Episode III Revenge of the Sith

21. ANIMATED SHORT FILM:
Badgered
The Moon and the Son: An Imagined Conversation
The Mysterious Geographic Explorations of Jasper Morello
9
One Man Band

22. LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM:
Ausreisser (The Runaway)
Cashback
The Last Farm
Our Time Is Up
Six Shooter

23. VISUAL EFFECTS:
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
King Kong
War Of The Worlds

24. ANIMATED FEATURE FILM:
Howl's Moving Castle
Tim Burton's Corpse Bride
Wallace And Gromit In The Curse Of The Were-Rabbit

25. BONUS QUESTION:
What is your opinion of this year's nominations?
Woo-hoo!
Eh.
Argh!

26. BONUS QUESTION #2:
Who do you think was given the big shaft by the Academy this year?

27. BONUS QUESTION #3:
What are your fave flicks of 2005?

 Anything else on your mind, sport?

Umm...I can't notify you without an e-mail address...

Hi. I'm Drew. What's your name?